PulsesAs of 2026-10-05 09:41 UTC33 Pulses · 25 assessed0 calm · 100 extremeSeverityCalm firstBiggest movesSpiralRecent24h7d30d

Israel–Palestine · Gaza Combat and Humanitarian Catastrophe87: 87 out of 100, critical

Russia–Ukraine War · Combat and Long-Range Strike Intensity85: 85 out of 100, critical

Ukraine · Energy and Heating System Collapse84: 84 out of 100, critical

Iran–US · Strait of Hormuz Maritime Disruption84: 84 out of 100, critical

Iran Proxy Axis · Escalation83: 83 out of 100, critical

Russia–Ukraine · War Economy and External Dependency Strain83: 83 out of 100, critical

US–Iran–Israel · Direct Military Confrontation78: 78 out of 100, critical

Iran – Saudi Arabia – US · Hydrocarbon Supply Disruption77: 77 out of 100, critical

US–Iran · Diplomatic Deadlock74: 74 out of 100, severe

Israel · International Legal and Diplomatic Pressure73: 73 out of 100, severe

Russia–NATO · Hybrid and Grey-Zone Pressure72: 72 out of 100, severe

Sahel and Horn of Africa · State Fragility and Insurgent Control68: 68 out of 100, severe

Global Power System · Transition and Grid Resilience Strain68: 68 out of 100, severe

Houthis–Saudi Arabia · Red Sea–Bab el-Mandeb Shipping Disruption65: 65 out of 100, severe

US–China · Technology and Export-Control Decoupling65: 65 out of 100, severe

Red Sea–Hormuz shipping · War-risk insurance and freight cost pressure65: 65 out of 100, severe

Israel–Hamas–Saudi Arabia · Ceasefire and Normalization Deadlock63: 63 out of 100, severe

Russia–NATO · Diplomatic Rupture62: 62 out of 100, severe

Global Economy · Energy Price and Market Shock62: 62 out of 100, severe

Israel–Palestine · West Bank Annexation and Settler Violence60: 60 out of 100, severe

Russia–NATO · Direct Military Confrontation58: 58 out of 100, severe

Djibouti · Foreign Military Entanglement and Intelligence Competition58: 58 out of 100, severe

US–China · Compute Control Erosion35: 35 out of 100, elevated

US–China · Trade and Tariff Confrontation35: 35 out of 100, elevated

US–China · Diplomatic Deadlock20: 20 out of 100, calm

US–China · AI Safety Governance Fracture—: not yet assessed

China–Taiwan · Cross-Strait Political Rupture—: not yet assessed

Sahel–Horn of Africa · Displacement and Humanitarian Collapse Pressure—: not yet assessed

US–China · External deterrence failure and intervention risk—: not yet assessed

US–China · Military AI Weaponization—: not yet assessed

China–Taiwan · PLA Military Pressure and Blockade/Invasion Risk—: not yet assessed

Houthis–Saudi Arabia · Suez Canal Throughput and Rerouting Strain—: not yet assessed

Taiwan · Defence vulnerability—: not yet assessed